Spooky's week 3 college football selection express

[Spooky]

Will post a few plays for this weekend soon.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL ANALYSIS

Thursday's game

LY, Georgia Tech ran ball 56 times for a ridiculous 472 yards (8.4/carry) in a 41-23 thrashing of the 'canes, their fourth straight series win (other wins by 4-7-3 points). Tech is 12-4-1 as road underdog since '04- they hung on to beat Clemson 30-27 last week, after grabbing early 21-0 lead thanks to TDs on punt return/fake FG. Tech had 301 rushing yards last week but completed just 4 of 15 passes. Miami had 10 days to prepare here- they've covered 12 of 40 (30%) as a home favorite since 2002.

Friday's game

Boise State won seven of last eight vs Fresno, but split last two visits to this site, winning 34-21 in '07 (-3), losing 27-7 in '05 (+9), when Fresno was ranked 20th in country. Broncos are 19-13 as road fave since 2002, 6-3 the last two years- they won first two games by combined score of 67-8. Bulldogs did everything but win at Wisconsin last week, gaining 468 yards but throwing three picks in OT loss. Fresno is just 3-13 vs the spread at home since 2006, 1-5 as a home underdog.

Saturday's games

Top games

Navy almost took Ohio State to OT, they're now 22-9 vs spread as dog on road since 2001; Middies crushed La Tech 32-14 last week after 14-0 early deficit, so they're pretty good. Pitt is 4-8 as home fave since 2006; they gave up 433 passing yards in 54-27 win at Buffalo last week- they ran ball for 209 yards and had four takeaways (+4).

Syracuse held Penn State to 79 rushing yards in 28-7 loss last week; this is their third straight Big 11 foe. Orange were outgained 484-225 in 30-10 loss at Northwestern LY (+11)- they're 3-8 last 11 games as a home dog. Wildcats are 7-4 as road favorite since '01- they barely hung on to 21-3 halftime lead last week, holding off Eastern Michigan 27-24.

Underdog won last four Boston College-Clemson games SU; Tigers ran ball 62 times for just 133 yards in last two meetings- they're 18-23-1 as home favorite this decade, 7-13 vs spread in game following a loss. BC has QB making first road start after they whacked two cupcakes to start season- they're 11-2 vs spread as a road underdog since 2002.

Vanderbilt, Mississippi State both lost SEC road games last week, which makes this game more important (loser falls to 0-2 in SEC); State is 4-1 in last five series games (favorites 4-1 vs spread)- teams split last couple games played here. Vandy is 5-12-1 as home favorite since '01, 22-16-1 vs spread in game after a loss. State is 12-20-1 as a road dog since 2002.

Oregon scored two defensive TDs last week, hung on to beat Purdue in 38-36 shootout; Boilers outgained Ducks 451-356, but Oregon did run ball for 193 yards. Utes have longest win streak in nation, but have new QB who played JC ball LY- they're 12-4 as road dog since 2001. Oregon is 15-7 as home favorite since '05. Utes had 251 rushing yards, 248 thru air in 24-14 win at San Jose State last week (-13).

Virginia Tech (+7) won 35-30 at Nebraska LY, running ball for 206 yards and averaging over 11 yards/pass attempt. Hokies are 7-10-1 as favorite at home after crushing Marshall last week. Huskers are 5-11 as road dog this decade; this is first road start for QB Lee, who is 47-66/589 passing against pair of Sun Belt teams. Huskers ran punt back for TD vs Tech inlast year's game. Hokies had kick return for TD in this year's opener.

Visitor won seven of last eight Michigan State-Notre Dame games; State won last six visits here- they lost 29-27 to Central Michigan last week in game they led 27-20 with 0:40 left. Irish are 11-18 as home fave since '03 but routed Nevada 35-0 in '09 opener. Spartans are 5-3 as road dog since '06; their QB is making first road start. Notre Dame had ball and lead in last 3:00 in Ann Arbor last week, but couldn't finish against frosh QB.

West Virginia had 271 rushing yards in 34-17 win vs Auburn LY (-3.5), averaging 7.7 yds/rush (TY was 445-260), scoring 31 unanswered points. WVa is dog for first time since their 44-34 loss at Louisville in '06 (+1). Auburn scored 86 points in winning its first two games, running ball for 300+ yards both times. Tigers also had 454 passing yards, so they have had tremendous balance, but this is big step up in competition.

Tennessee as 29-point dog? Vols lost 59-20/30-6 to Florida last couple years, and they lost 19-15 at home to UCLA last week, passing for just 93 yards with three picks. Kiffin opened his yap about Florida when he got hired, now he's in Swamp where Gators beat Troy 56-6 last week-- they're 11-2 vs spread as a home favorite since '07. Long day for Vols.

Baylor (+13) lost 31-28 at UConn LY, giving up 225 rushing yards to Huskies, who are 5-14 as road dog since '04. Bears are 8-3 as home fave since 2001- they had 197 rushing yards in 24-21 win at Wake, surviving 90 penalty yards. UConn has road win at Ohio already, but they gave up nine points in last 1:30 of brutal 12-10 home loss to UNC last week.

Kentucky beat Louisville 27-2/40-34 last two years; this is just second time in last nine series meetings UK is favored (1-2 as series fave). UK held Louisville to 154 rushing yards last two meetings, after they ran it for 1,073 yards in four meetings before that. Cards are 2-3 as a road dog last four years- first road start for their QB. Wildcats have SEC opener with Florida (22 straight losses to Gators) up next.

Florida State was down 9-7 with 1:00 to play as a 34-point favorite to a I-AA team last week, snuck out with an ugly 19-9 win, now face BYU squad that won at Tulane by 50 and beat Oklahoma in Dallas. Seminoles are 2-4 as a dog last two years- hard to endorse them after debacle last week. Cougars outgained Oklahoma by 92 yards but Bradford got KO'd.

Georgia's schedule is too hard- they lost 24-10 at Oklahoma State, then outlasted Gamecocks 41-37 last week (outgained 427-308, 13 penalties), so they've been tested plenty, while Arkansas' only game was 48-10 win over I-AA Missouri State. Hogs are just 11-14 vs spread in last 25 home games. Dawgs covered 12 of last 17 SEC games, won 30 of 35 on road.

Texas Tech ruined Texas' season LY with dramatic 39-33 win, but now Tech comes to Austin with QB making first road start- Raiders lost last five visits here by average of 28 points. Tech held Texas to 80-92 yards in last two series wins; Horns had 205+ in last eight wins. Texas is 16-9 vs spread in last 25 games as HF. Tech is 2-5 as a road dog since 2005.

Oregon State came east and got waxed 34-3 by Cincinnati two years ago on a Thursday night (-3.5); Beavers had seven turnovers that night. OSU is 9-4 as home favorite last three years- they had 184 rushing yards, 198 passing in 23-21 win in Vegas last week (-6). Bearcats are 9-4 vs spread on road under Kelly after winning 47-15 at Rutgers Labor Day weekend.

Other games

-- Ball State lost to I-AA UNH last week, after losing as 17-pt favorite in opener. Army covered three of last four games as home favorite.

-- Purdue scored 88 points in first two games; they're 6-3 as home fave since 2007. Northern Illinois is 4-1 as a road dog under coach Kill.

-- Michigan had dramatic win last week, has Big 11 opener next week, so letdown alert vs EMU squad that lost 27-24 at Northwestern last week; they're 17-15 as road dog since '07, and have a senior QB.

-- Penn State won its last three games vs Temple by combined score of 123-3- they have revenge game with Iowa on deck. Five members of the Temple coaching staff played at Penn State- so much for mercy.

-- North Carolina scored nine points in last 1:30 last week, getting out of Nutmeg State with 12-10 win. ECU is 13-4 as road dog after getting shut out in second half of 35-20 loss at revenge-minded West Virginia.

-- Miami OH lost first two games under new coach 42-0/48-0, getting outgained by 287 yards/game- they've lost seven games in row, dating back to LY. Western Michigan is 6-8 as home favorite since 2004.

-- Colorado is 8-12 as home favorite since 2003, 15-22 vs spread in their last 37 non-league games. Wyoming is 3-10 as a road dog since 2006.

-- Iowa covered four of last 13 as home favorite; they're 9-18 vs spread in game after their last 27 wins. Arizona covered three of their last four tries as a road underdog.

-- Akron is 5-7 as home favorite since 2005. Indiana is putrid 13-29 as road dog this decade- they're 2-0 after beating WMU 23-19 last week, in game where Hoosiers survived 13 penalties for 106 yards.

-- Kansas is 16-6 as home favorite since '04; they covered 21 of their last 28 home games overall. Duke was outgained 385-236 at West Point last week but scored four second half TDs to beat the Cadets 35-19.

-- Virginia is 6-12 as road dog since '03; they were outrushed 203-57 in a 30-14 home loss to TCU last week. Southern Miss won C-USA opener last week, 26-19- they're 8-11 vs spread as home favorite since '05.

-- Washington coach Sarkisian was USC OC before coming to Seattle; his Huskies lost opener 31-23 here to LSU (+16). Trojans are off comeback win at Ohio State- they crushed Washington 56-0 LY (-45).

-- UCLA will have freshman QB making first start with Prince out (jaw) Bruins are 14-7 as home favorite since '04. Kansas State got upset down at UL-Lafayette last week 17-15; they covered five of six as road dog.

-- Toledo lost 52-31 at Purdue in opener, then crushed Colorado 54-38 last Friday. Ohio State lost late to USC, is taking ton of grief this week- they're 28-15 vs spread in last 43 games as a favorite.

-- Washington State gave up 626 yards in 38-20 loss to Hawai'i last week in Seattle (+2.5); Coogs are 2-5 as home dog under Wulff. SMU travels a long way, trying to go 3-0 for first time since 1984.

-- San Diego State (-11) beat Idaho 45-17 LY, going 26-40/445 thru air. Aztecs are 0-3 vs spread as a road favorite since 2004. Vandals are 4-7 in last 11 games as a home underdog.

-- Colorado State snuck past I-AA Weber State 24-23 last week, after an upset of rival Colorado in opener; Rams are 7-4 as road dog since 2001. Nevada had last week off after getting trounced 35-0 at Notre Dame.

-- Marshall is 8-2-1 as home dog this decade; they gave up 44 yards in a 52-10 loss at Va Tech LW. Bowling Green led in second half at Missouri last week, lost 27-20- they covered last four tries as road favorite.

-- Cal came east LY and got upset by Maryland; Bears are 1-6 vs spread as road favorite, have Pac-10 opener vs Oregon next week. Minnesota is 2-0 after beating Air Force; they're 3-8 as a home underdog since '02.

-- Buffalo won opener at UTEP of C-USA; they're 15-5 as dog on road under Gill. Central Florida lost league opener at Southern Miss last week getting outgained 409-194, 156-15 on the ground.

-- Poor Rice- they got whipped 55-10 in Lubbock, giving up 508 yards in air; now they get angry Oklahoma State club off loss to Houston as a 16-point favorite. Cowboys are 10-4-1 vs spread coming off a loss.

-- Oklahoma won last four games vs Tulsa by average score of 47-9, as Hurricane lost two visits here, 31-15/58-0. Freshman QB Jones got first start vs I-AA Idaho State last week, completing 18-32/286 yards.

-- Texas A&M is 11-8 as home favorite since '04, just 9-18 vs spread in last 27 non-league games. Utah State covered 10 of last 15 as road dog.

-- Iowa State got crushed 35-3 in rivalry game last week, throwing five picks; Cyclones are 0-4 as road favorite since 2002. Kent State is 4-6 as home dog last four years- they lost 34-7 last week at BC (+21).

-- Home side won four of last five Air Force-New Mexico games; Lobos lost first two games this year 41-6/44-10, converting 5-29 on 3rd down. Air Force covered three of last four tries as a road favorite.

-- New Mexico State beat local rival UTEP 29-24/34-33 last two years, but Aggies struggled to beat Prairie View 21-18- they completed 8 of 20 passes, not good. UTEP is 3-7 as a road favorite under Price.

-- Hawai'i spent week on mainland after waxing Washington State 38-20 in Seattle; they're 10-7 vs spread in last 17 road games. UNLV is 4-14 as a home favorite since 2002.

-- Stanford won/covered six of last seven games vs San Jose State, with five of six wins by 21+ points. Cardinal are 9-3 as home fave since '02. Spartans are 11-22 as a road underdog since 2003.

-- Florida International covered in 40-14 loss at Alabama last week, with a KR for TD; they're 5-8 as road dog under Cristobal. Rutgers is 11-8 as a home favorite the last 4+ seasons.

-- North Texas won as 17-point dog in opener, then lost in OT to Ohio last week; they're improved, but Alabama beat Sun Belt's FIU 40-14 in home opener last week. Crimson Tide has SEC opener next week.

-- Middle Tennessee (+13) gained 402 yards in 24-14 win vs Maryland LY; MTSU beat Memphis 31-14 LW (TY 436-219). Terps needed OT to beat I-AA JMU last week, after getting crushed at Cal in opener.

-- South Carolina is off pair of tense games (7-3 win; 37-41 loss); they're 7-3 as home fave, but have ESPN game vs Ole Miss Thursday. FAU has senior QB, but they lost opener 49-3 at Nebraska (+21.5).

-- UAB's wild comeback fell just short vs SMU last week; they scored 77 points in first two games. Blazers won last two meetings vs in-state rival Troy, 27-7/21-3. Trojans are 10-7 as a home favorite since 2004.

-- UL-Lafayette upset Kansas State at home last week, now visit Baton Rouge, where LSU covered just three of last 13 as home favorite. Tigers won SEC opener last week, are at division rival Miss State next week.

-- Arizona State is 7-4 as home favorite under Erickson; they need sharp effort here with trip to Georgia on deck. UL-Monroe is 13-7 as a road dog since 2006.

[Spooky]

Not loving that much tonight.

But that never stopped me before.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

GEORGIA TECH/MIAMI, FLORIDA OVER 54 POINTS

Good Luck!

[Spooky]

Tonight we take another shot at it.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

BOISE STATE/FRESNO STATE OVER 53 POINTS

Opinion on Boise State -7 (buy the pt)


MLB

COLORADO ROCKIES -140

Good Luck!!!

Happy New Year!!

[Spooky]

Have a great weekend.

Getting started with todays plays.
Will be back soon, getting thru a busy morning.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

FLORIDA -29

OREGON STATE +1

USC -19

[Spooky]

Been slammed all afternoon.

Lets throw out a couple more.

Good Luck.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

NEVADA -3

ARIZONA STATE -10

Also want to add Middle Tennessee State but the game is starting shortly.

[Spooky]

Sad day as a Trojan fan.



A few more plays to close out the week.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

TEXAS -18

MARSHALL +3

CENTRAL FLORIDA/BUFFALO OVER 46 POINTS


A few opinions on HAWAII +7, UCLA -11 and TEXAS TECH/TEXAS OVER 66 POINTS