Monday Night Football

[Old-Timer]

The number I come up with is Arizona -4 and 44 which is right on. So tell me who do you like? Am I suppose to believe the interview I heard this morning with Singletary saying nobody knows who his team is but they will after tonight or should I look at Warner throwing 12 Touchdown passes over the last four games without a pick playing against one of the weaker secondary's in the league. The Money line for a -4 Favorite is way out of line.

[Dirty]

I couldn't play this game

[Old-Timer]

I took a small flier on the Niners +4 -105 Looking good so far..

[Dirty]

Do you dare take Zona in the 2nd Half

[Old-Timer]

No I played the Niners again +7 -110

[valentin22]

Wow cant believe that line was so high after the way Zona played. I was ready to bet Zona second half until i saw it at -7.

Great middle chance for SF backers

[Old-Timer]

There's two half time plays I'll always make. First One if the Team that was the Favorite to start the game is a bigger Favorite at Half Time you bet the Dog.
Ari -4
Half Time Ari -7

2nd One is If the ROAD team is winning by 15 or more points BET the UNDER in the 2nd Half as long as you can get 17 or more. One play this week was the Under in the 2nd half of the Jet game.

The first one is around 56% Play and the 2nd is even better Close to 60%

[Old-Timer]

Wow cant believe that line was so high after the way Zona played. I was ready to bet Zona second half until i saw it at -7.

Great middle chance for SF backers

You have a solid bet with the 49ers why would you want to throw it away at a middle.
You don't get many like this.

[valentin22]

There's two half time plays I'll always make. First One if the Team that was the Favorite to start the game is a bigger Favorite at Half Time you bet the Dog.
Ari -4
Half Time Ari -7

2nd One is If the ROAD team is winning by 15 or more points BET the UNDER in the 2nd Half as long as you can get 17 or more. One play this week was the Under in the 2nd half of the Jet game.

The first one is around 56% Play and the 2nd is even better Close to 60%

I understand your logic here, although i have no idea where you are getting these percentages. These printed somewhere or just your hypothesis.

In any event, the specifics related to this game would lead one to believe that SF backers might have wanted to take a chance with the middle. Here is my reasoning.

1.) SF has a very unproven quarterback and would most likely play extremely conservative, running the ball a ton with a 17 point lead.
2.) Arizona has one of the most prolific pass offenses in the league, playing against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL (6th worst this season).
3.)If Arizona doesn't turn the ball over a stunning five times in the first half, they more than likely would have put up at least one if not two touchdowns already. Odds are against them having that poor of a second half.

So i had my own logic related to this game alone and I think it was pretty sound. Without the two fumbles in the second half, no doubt in my mind Arizona covers and the middle hits. In any event, you can't cap two huge fumbles in the second half and five fumbles in a game (Much less 7 turnovers). That being said I stayed away from the Arizona -7 as i thought it was too many. However, that doesnt make my logic above any less correct, as it would have hit without the fumbles.

I honestly can't remember seeing an NFL team fumble that many times in a game. You have to give the 49ers credit as they supplied some great shots right at the football. You usually see those kind of ball jarring hits once in about every three games, but tonight we saw it about 3 times in one game.

[valentin22]

You have a solid bet with the 49ers why would you want to throw it away at a middle.
You don't get many like this.

Also, I don't quite see your logic here. Betting Arizona -7 in the second half doesn't throw away your SF +4 bet, when the Niners have a 17 point lead. The Niners bet at +4 still has probably a 90% chance of hitting at that point. Your Arizona -7 second half bet is a separate bet. We are talking about at 12 point middle here, with the second bet not likely effecting the first, because if Zona covers the half they more than likely still don't cover the game bet.

Sorry not trying to pick a fight here, just a little fired up. I lost quite a bit tonight LOL