New Orleans at New England

Tom Brady at home versus the Saints defense? The Pats bettered secondary against, well, anybody? No surprise the number’s moved from an opening 44 ½ to 47 ½ points.

Brady, the league’s top passer (2,560 yards), will look to carve up a Saints secondary ranked fifth statistically in the league. However, a closer look reveals the Saints have allowed an average of 32 points on the road this season and 11 touchdown passes versus just seven interceptions.

Also of interest is the fact that these teams have played over in their last seven meetings, dating back to 1986.

Philadelphia at Giants

Pitting the pass-first Eagles without their two top players against the Giants on the road is a recipe for a low number. That’s why the total has dropped from an opening 43 all the way down to 41 ½.

If Philly hopes to continue its hold on the title of league’s best passing offense, it will have to do it against a Giants pass defense that’s allowed just nine touchdown passes against 11 interceptions. They`ll also have to do it with third-string quarterback Mike McMahon in just his eighth career start – his first as an Eagle.

The Giants have played under the number in four of their last five. The Eagles` over/under ratio is 1-3-1 during that time.

Seattle at San Francisco

The Seahawks have won and covered their last three meetings with the Niners and are on a roll. Seattle has won five straight, covering four of those games. But not everyone has their money on Seattle. This line’s moved around quite a bit, opening at +11 ½, then rising as high as +13 before settling around +12 ½ on most books.

The push back down may be due to the realization that as dreadful as the Niners are, they’re actually moneymakers at home this season. San Fran is 3-2 against the number at Qwest Field, losing only to the Giants and Colts.

Buffalo at San Diego

Fantasy players aren`t the only one`s foaming at the mouth over the prospect of LaDainian Tomlinson against the league’s 31st ranked rushing defense. Bettors are confident enough to force books to make the Chargers 11-point favorites, bet up from an opening number of 9 ½.

Tomlinson has rushed for 835 yards and 13 touchdowns already this season. He also has three touchdown passes and two TD receptions. Meanwhile, the Bills allow 150 yards per game on the ground and a league-worst five yards per carry.

Jets at Denver

This is a meeting of two teams moving in different directions. The Jets are 3-6 against the number, while the Broncos are a league-best 6-2-1. That’s just one of the factors driving the number from 12 ½ to 13 points.

Denver has been unbeatable at home this season, going 5-0 and 3-1-1 against the spread. Their last two road wins were dominating performances over last year’s Super Bowl teams, the Eagles and Pats.

The Jets have yet to win away from home, going 0-5 both straight up and against the number, their latest loss as a 30-3 throttling at Carolina last week.

Indianapolis at Cincinnati

The push for Indy is nothing more than a groundswell of support for a 9-0 team that, before a 31-17 win over Houston as 17 ½-point faves, had covered five straight games. Originally a 4-point road favorite, action has seen that number rise to 5 ½, and as high as six on some books.

After a quick 3-0 start against the number, Cincy has cooled off. The Bengals are just 2-3-1 ATS since then and have failed to cover their last three home games.

The Colts, conversely, are 5-0 against the number on the road this season.
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