Tool's WNBA 2010

[Dirty]

Good Luck

[tool21]

Wash -8.5 *1 Won

1-0

std 7-8 47% -1.8

[tool21]

6/25

Conn -4.5 *1
Conn O 186.5 *1
Was +4 *1
Was O 150.5 *1
Sea -6 *1

sweep?? that would make my week

[Dirty]

Good Luck....

[tool21]

Conn -4.5 *1 Loss
Conn O 186.5 *1 Loss
Was +4 *1 Loss
Was O 150.5 *1 Won
Sea -6 *1 Loss

1-4 -3.3

std 8-12 40% -5.1 OUCH

[tool21]

6/26

Minn +6 *1

[tool21]

Minn +6 *1 Loss

8-13 -6.2 OUCH

[tool21]

6/27

On a 2-9 run :X

Wash -2.5 *1
NY O 157.5 *1
NY -1 *1
Ind O 149 *1

[Dirty]

Good luck

[tool21]

Taking some more time off. See you gents later!


A little help for anybody who also does this. I can rank any stat based on strength of schedule for that stat. I can look at Offensive Field Goal % and compare this stat to their opponents Defensive Field Goal Attempts who is compared to other teams Offensive Field Goal % and so on so on so on until it finally gives a RATING for that variable. One thing I found WRONG with this is the ratings it gives are dependent on the AVERAGE for the league. I ran into one game for example Indiana at Chicago. From following WNBA this year before i even look at the game i Know Indiana is a great defensive team and Chicago likes to slow down the pace which makes a super low scoring game. The total came out at 151.5 My method said the total should be 165. I take the over and the final outcome is 70-64 for a total of 134 WAYYY under. Why did this happen? Because my method has a flaw that uses teams 'rankings' dependent on league averages for that ranking. It gave me a false number and I knew this before I even bet it. 48 variables per game recording for every game through an entire season does nothing if the variable isn't put up against something in common with the other team. Generic Example Team A scoring 89 a game against Team B scoring 85 a game doesn't mean Team A is better if Team A has 12 more possessions per game than Team B. Do this for 24 offensive variables and 24 defensive variables with an equation predicting the amount of points scored per team and you have an intense method that isn't really doing the right thing. Back to the drawing boards.

[LeeRain]

Tool! How ya been brotha? I had no idea you were overe here man. Good to see you...........GL with your plays pal

[Dirty]

Good to have you LeeRain

[Dirty]

Good to have you LeeRain