Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 - Picks Tracking

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.07, final pick:

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals

This is a matchup in the Eastern Conference, with both teams with valid arguments to attend the playoffs. However, and despite the good records, there is a little trend where one of this team is with a negative record. Yes, Senators are not as good as they are at home.

Senators are making a good season so far, but I think that after losing Spezza and Alfredsson they will pass a letdown spot. This isn't already easy to seen because they were playing 5 games at home in a row. They got 2 of their best offensive players out, and their offense will struggle soon. Despite they scored 7 goals at home against Flyers, they lost the last game at home against Bruins, scoring only one goal.

On the road, they score 2.24 goals per game, and this is an average that should get lower in the next games. Their defense is their weak point on road, with 3.53 goals allowed per game.

Capitals have named Ovechkin their captain. After a streak with 3 losses, this nomination had a great impact, making the team return to wins. This is one of the strongest contenders to Stanley cup, and when they start their engines, no one can stop them. After suffering many losses by injuries, something that is happening often this season, the team got almost all players ok to this game. When they got all their key players ok, they usually gives a great show, and input big losses to opponents. This is seem particularly at home, where Capitals score 3.79 goals per game, only allowing 2.74 goals per game.

So, today we can expect Capitals in full force and Senators trying to compensate some important injuries. Against power offensive teams, particularly on road, Senators can't hold the game, allowing many goals. And when Capitals get enthusiastic, they usually score a lot.

Pick: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.08, final 2 picks:


Colorado Avalanche @ Carolina Hurricanes

If this game were 1 month ago, these odds were impossible to find were Colorado. Colorado started the season with a great streak, slowing down lately, and Carolina were achieving defeat after defeat, but showed some improves after Staal return. But today, this game smell like a game from that date, but the odds didn't follow that.

Colorado started well the season, but them suffered a letdown. Since that letdown, they are showing great improvement in their last games, being again a good road team, as their record shows. Carolina after improving with Staal return, are now dealing with his personal issue that puts him out of game.

He already missed last game, that Carolina lost 4-2, and will miss today again. We can't forget that he is the key player that made Carolina improve, and without him, Carolina struggles. Colorado got better road stats than Carolina home stats, and due to the fact that Carolina are showing a great improvement lately and Carolina are in the same spot they were when they struggled hard, there is a big value on odds.

Pick: Colorado Avalanche 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker, Goalwin



Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils

One month ago I've done the same pick I will do today, but today the spot is much better than last month. Last month Tampa were playing better and Devils were passing a moment where they had no interest in cover the PL. Even so, Devils won 3-2.

Tampa is a home based team. They are 2-1 in last 3 road games, a better result than expected, and against permissive teams. This team have great offensive players that can make the different, but they usually struggle on the road because those players can't produce on the road the same they produce at home.

Scoring 2.32 goals per game on the road, is a low number and despite a much bigger number, their defense is even worse, allowing 3.45 goals per game.

Devils are leading the Eastern Conference and making a strong games. If they were "just" winning in the first games, they are now showing that they can play pretty well, and are winning easily. Despite two losses in last 11 games, on road against direct opponents to Stanley Cup, this team won 9 games and only twice they missed the PL. At home, they only allowed 2.09 goals per game.

At this point, Devils are to strong to let Tampa think that they can be a easy hosts. Tampa can't make surprises on road, and they can't even discuss a game against teams that are cohesive and playing well, approaching each game on the right view. Devils are also now winning most games comfortable, something that should be easy, as Tampa is a soft defense and if they get disoriented, it will be easy to Devils score.

Bet: New Jersey PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) Bookmaker


*One unit each always.



NHL 2010.01.07 results:

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker (5-2: WIN)

NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 101-120-3 (+9.89 units won/221 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 10-8-1 and +5.32 units won/18 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.30 finished 3-1 and +2.75 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.29 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 127 picks: 69-58-2, +28.49 units won!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2010.01.09, final 7 picks:

New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker, +125 (2.25) Goalwin

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) The Greek

Washington Capitals @ Atlanta Thrashers: Washington Capitals PL +190 (2.90) Bookmaker

Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



The Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils was suspended/postponed.

NHL 2010.01.08 results:

Colorado Avalanche @ Carolina Hurricanes: Colorado Avalanche 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker (2-1: LOSS)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) Bookmaker (0-3: PUSH/VOID)

NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 101-121-3 (+8.89 units won/222 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 10-7-1 and +6.32 units won/17 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.30 finished 3-1 and +2.75 units won/4 units risked.

Last 128 picks: 69-59-2, +27.49 units won!

[caracalla]

Very good work!!!
I'll follow you

Tx

[TommyGold]

Very good work!!!
I'll follow you

Tx

Many thanks caracalla!!!



NHL 2010.01.09 results:

New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (1-3: WIN)
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-2 OT: LOSS)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) The Greek (4-1: WIN)

Washington Capitals @ Atlanta Thrashers: Washington Capitals PL +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (1-8: WIN)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker (6-5 SO: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-124-3 (+11.44 units won/229 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-9-1 and +6.12 units won/20 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 135 picks: 74-53-2, +30.04 units won!

Now I'm practically with a 5% ROI. Have a nice 2010!