My Power Rankings for Week 10

[ThocProcess]

Had a revelation last night going to bed. Turned my spreadsheets into Power Rankings. Obviously teams are missing but i had only looked at games with a spread of the home team < 7 and i did this early Monday so some lines weren't up yet. But here they are (I'm no Sagarin). Subtract the numbers and add HF adv. for the spread.

1	Texas	96.93137
2	Missouri	94.86568
3	Florida	94.48643
4	Texas Tech	88.50131
5	Boise St	84.4279
6	TCU	83.22353
7	Georgia	82.57912
8	Iowa	80.41557
9	Illinois	76.94476
10	California	76.78717
11	Minnesota	76.10037
12	BYU	75.69703
13	Mich St	74.5519
14	Oregon	74.46262
15	Miami	73.62333
16	Ole Miss	73.23558
17	Tennessee	73.13003
18	Wisconsin	72.13449
19	Connecticut	71.94476
20	S Carolina	71.66245
21	Boston College	70.74238
22	Air Force	70.32628
23	Rice	70.22824
24	South Florida	69.62503
25	Kentucky	69.28235
26	Pittsburgh	69.19986
27	Notre Dame	68.77611
28	NorthWestern	68.6239
29	Wake Forest	68.38966
30	Duke	68.38921
31	Virginia	68.32912
32	Auburn	67.95146
33	Purdue	67.70752
34	Navy	67.64714
35	Temple	67.57869
36	Clemson	67.2031
37	Cincinnati	66.74238
38	W Virginia	65.7394
39	Troy	64.91202
40	Texas AM	64.70567
41	San Jose St	64.45837
42	Bowling Green	63.67839
43	UTEP	63.24918
44	Hawaii	63.06721
45	Michigan	62.93112
46	C Michigan	62.67946
47	Colorado	61.37503
48	Baylor	61.04085
49	UNLV	60.31753
50	Fresno St	60.15139
51	Colorado St	59.95667
52	Army	59.89714
53	Kent St	59.59442
54	Indiana	58.8688
55	Mississippi St	58.33762
56	Louisiana Tech	55.35746
57	New Mexico St	53.63491
58	Utah St	52.52289
59	UL Monroe	50.97027
60	San Diego St	48.69193
61	Wyoming	47.96744
62	Idaho	36.47601

[Cooper]

interesting list.

I'm trying to figure out why teams are left out based on the >7 point spread.

At first I didn't read that part and glancing over the list I quickly noticed no teams from Oklahoma and I was like WTF kind of list is this! The 7 points explains why they aren't in there of course, but I'm wondering what it is with the forumula that excludes teams that fit into that category.

[ThocProcess]

Cooper, the reason I don't have some teams is because i've made spreadsheets for games that I may potentially bet. I won't bet on a home favorite of more than -7. That's why you won't find these games in there. Nothing to do with a formula everything to do with personal opinion.

[Cooper]

I was just wondering.

So you won't bet on a home favorite of more than 7 points?

Man that seriously limits your options doesn't it?

Just trying to pick your brain here regarding your reasoning for excluding those teams from your options.

Personally, I don't use any kind of factors like that and just go on a game by game basis but if I was using 7 as a rule it would more likely be road favorites of more than 7 I would think.

Anyway, just wondering how you come up with a formula like that.

I totally understand if you don't want to go into how or why so no worries if you don't want to.

[ThocProcess]

Cooper, sorry so late on the response. I don't want to get into how I make these ratings since i spend so much time on my capping. These ratings are still in the developmental phase and I'm still waiting on input from Jeff Sagarin to make it more accurate. But for the sake of doing what I need to do, it works for me. A couple things these ratings don't include are home field advantage and injuries. So how do I fix this? I don't bet on away teams and i only bet on teams with little injuries. It works for me. Definitely gives me few plays but IMO you don't want a lot of plays to begin with because of the juice. Quality and not quantity is what I go for. As the season progresses the amount of plays per week should get smaller and smaller as the books lines get sharper and sharper.

[Cooper]

well I'll tell you what man, you just nailed your Northwestern play and things are looking very good with Wisconsin having the ball and up 2 less than five to go. I don't wanna jinx you but I've been paying close attention to your plays today.

I'm impressed so far, regardless of the final outcome.

[Cooper]

I don't bet on away teams and i only bet on teams with little injuries.

You mean to say you don't bet on home teams?