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    Default SEC Roundtable

    SEC Roundtable Discussion Part I


    What Hot Seat?

    By Gomila, Harbach, Sallee
    Collegefootballnews.com
    Posted Jun 7, 2010



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    Back by popular demand...Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach and Barrett Sallee are back to discuss all things SEC on Collegefootballnews.com.

    We're baaaaaack! You loved us in 2009, and in 2010, we're back form more. Three of our Collegefootballnews.com SEC columnists (Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach and Barrett Sallee) are back to get you through the summer until the season starts. This SEC Roundtable Discussion should fire up our loyal CFN SEC readers and give you something to talk about during the College Football’s dead period. Periodically throughout the summer, the guys will dive into a handful of juicy topics to give your off-season water cooler discussions some life. In their inaugural Roundtable of 2010, the guys discuss the South Carolina Gamecocks, Les Miles' job security and SEC expansion.

    Do you buy the South Carolina hype?

    Billy Gomila: With seventeen starters including a starting quarterback, legit star-in-the-making at receiver and a couple of big-time talents in the defensive backfield, this is definitely Steve Spurrier’s most talented Gamecock squad yet. Could it challenge for the SEC East title (or at least finish second)? Absolutely. Will it? I wouldn’t bet on it. I’ve actually always thought South Carolina has the resources to be a top-half SEC program. And I’m certainly a fan of the Old Ball Coach. But after years of watching this program schizophrenically bounce back and forth between upsets and let-downs, I just can’t bring myself to pick South Carolina to top the seven win plateau they’ve been at under Spurrier.

    Brian Harbach: I love Steve Spurrier and have for many years, I love his attitude, I love his honesty and I love his competitive nature…he is what every SEC fan should expect from their head coach but even he cannot fix South Carolina and I am not buying the hype. There is one specific reason why I don’t think the Gamecocks will compete for a division title this year and it has nothing to do with history, tradition, the Gators or any other stereotype of Carolina football. It is because of the offensive line.

    Now I want to define what I consider the hype to be…I don’t believe that USC will contend for the East this year but I do believe they will win 8 or 9 games including a bowl. Nine wins is a big deal for South Carolina, I believe it will be the third nine win season in the schools history but an Eastern division title is not in their cards this season. So the hype of an Eastern division title I am not buying, but the hype of a good SEC team I think is definitely warranted.

    Barrett Sallee: Yes. I think the Gamecocks have the best shot of anyone in the east to knock off Florida. I don't think they will, but I absolutely think they will finish second in the division and give the Gators a run for their money. Don't be fooled by head coach Steve Spurrier's public criticism of quarterback Stephen Garcia. He is entrenched as the starter, and will put up very good numbers. He was the second-leading passer in the SEC in 2009, and has weapons-galore in 2010. The Gamecocks return two studs -- Alshon Jeffery and Tori Gurley -- at wide receiver, All-American candidate Weslye Saunders at tight end and have highly-touted freshman running back Marcus Lattimore coming in to tote the rock. On defense, they lose Eric Norwood, but Cliff Matthews is a stud on the defensive line, they have an underrated linebacking corps led by Shaq Wilson and Rodney Paulk, and Stephon Gilmore is extremely reliable in that secondary. I think they'll be in contention with Florida. After all, if it's not South Carolina's year to challenge for the title this year, when will it be???

    Is Les Miles on the hot seat?

    Brian: The more applicable question is which coach isn’t on the hot seat because if you are a Head Coach in the SEC that means you are always on the hot seat. I never understand when SEC fans not wearing Alabama hats tell me that there coach is there as long as he wants to be there (yes I mean you Carolina fans). It just doesn’t make sense to put Gene Chizik, Urban Meyer or Steve Spurrier in a spot where they don’t fear for their jobs. All of these guys are one 4-8 year away from being fired or in Meyer’s case directly on the hot seat.

    SEC fans have a very short memory which brings us to Les Miles and to a lesser extent Mark Richt…what have you done for me lately rules this conference and with every SEC coach being paid multi-million dollar contracts it isn’t a surprise. Looking at Miles and Richt’s resumes at their current schools it seems ridiculous that either of them be put on a hot list. Between them there have a national championship, three SEC titles, five division championships and five BCS bowl games in a combined 14 years in the SEC. Have they made mistakes, yes. Who can forget the 2008 Blackout Funeral in Athens or the clock management disaster for Miles in 2009?

    No one can forget them; fans remember them even more especially since those failures happened more recently than Georgia and LSU successes. There are two ways that Miles or Richt leaves their current jobs this year…the first is if their teams fall apart and they do not make a bowl game. I think both will be gone with 5 or fewer wins and like any coach they probably should be. The other reason would be if they left on their own and it is not likely either will do that. So stop talking about the hot seat for these guys like there is more pressure on them this year than any other year in the SEC. Win or go home, win or get fired…such is life in the SEC.

    Barrett: Yes, and rightfully so. Since winning the national championship in 2007, LSU is 8-8 in the SEC and none of those wins have come against a team that finished with a winning conference record. The program is very much in decline. Miles ignored the problem this offseason by keeping offensive coordinator Gary Crowton on his staff. If the decline continues, the problem won't be ignored, and Miles and Crowton may both be looking for work. Miles' defenders argue that it sets a terrible precedent to fire a coach with the fourth-highest winning percentage (.785) in school history and the highest in the modern era. There's some validity to that argument. But if LSU finishes 2010 hovering around .500 -- which is very possible considering their out-of-conference schedule -- than the administration will have to go in another direction. With the type of high school talent that the state of Louisiana produces on an annual basis, there's no reason for LSU -- a team that doesn't have another legitimate team in-state to compete against on the recruiting trail -- to be a middle-of-the-pack SEC team.

    Billy: I’ve said it in a number of venues, and I still believe it – any coach in this conference is one or two years away from the “hot seat” – and that is undoubtedly true of Miles. The question is, is he the coach who won 33 games, two division titles, a conference and national championship his first three years, or the coach who’s struggled to a .500 record in league play the last two. 2010 will tell that tale. I do expect new offensive assistants Billy Gonzales and Frank Wilson to bring some new ideas to the attack (which, frankly, can’t get worse), but the schedule will be unforgiving. And how LSU comes by its record this season will likely be almost as important as what that record is.

    What is your view on SEC expansion?

    Billy: Conference expansion seems inevitable, and however it shakes out, I hope that the SEC holds to a mindset of quality over quantity. Merely expanding to 12 or 14 teams won’t be enough to make the Big 10 the nation’s best conference. Especially if that number includes teams like Missouri, Rutgers, Pittsburgh, Syracuse or even Nebraska. Media markets are nice, but not if you flood them with sub-standard football. Most importantly, the league needs to keep its network partners involved. Even the CBS and ESPN mega-deals are finite. Adding more hands to the pot does nobody any good if the pot itself doesn’t expand. The main domino in this whole setup is, of course, Texas. They’re the one school that can make the Big 10 elite, and they would skyrocket the SEC beyond the stratosphere. Other schools that make sense from a “fit” standpoint include Clemson, Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, Georgia Tech and Oklahoma, if only because they would surely try to stay as joined at the hip with Texas as possible. However it shakes out, I just hope that Mike Slive and the conference presidents remember that as important as it is to be proactive in these situations, sometimes letting the other guy make the first mistake can be equally as valuable.

    Brian: I am not going to beat around the bush on this one, I hate the talk of expansion, I hate the idea of expansion and I want the SEC to avoid expansion at all costs. The first question I ask myself is if the SEC adds another two or four teams who benefits? The new teams benefit while the current teams get hurt. Rivalries between the East and West become even more infrequent and the disparity between divisions could become a problem if teams avoid playing the best from the other side of the league.

    I know most of college football is about money, I am not going to try and pretend it isn’t and that is why the Big Ten needs to expand. The Big Ten has a network that not enough major markets have an interest in and by adding schools like Missouri they can add at large St. Louis TV market. The SEC Network, also known as ESPN, does not need any additional markets because everyone has it. So why would the SEC add schools that are not going to add any additional benefit to the league financially.

    The SEC does not need to try and keep up with other leagues, they need to try and keep up with the SEC which is why this crazy expansion talk is such a big deal. It is an attempt to curb some of the national enthusiasm towards the SEC and allow the other conferences to get some of the national attention. As always the SEC is the leader in innovation in college athletics, expansion is nothing new…we started it nearly twenty years ago because it made sense to do so. It doesn’t make sense now and until the SEC needs to expand in order not to fall behind I have no problem with it, but now it is just silly to discuss. Sorry Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Miami and Texas…we don’t want you and we really don’t need you.

    Barrett: I think the SEC is doing the right thing by being reactive instead of proactive. Once the first domino falls, the rest of them are going to fall pretty quickly. Mike Slive knows this, and the SEC certainly has a plan (or plans) drawn up to react to any possible expansion scenario. If the Big Ten or Pac-10 only expand to 14 teams, I think the SEC will stay put. If one of them jumps up to 16 and creates the first "super-conference," I expect the SEC to follow suit. The biggest fish in the pond is obviously Texas, so depending on how it shakes out elsewhere, they'd be the No. 1 option. Assuming Texas is in the mix, a new SEC that includes Texas and Texas A&M in the west and Clemson and Florida State in the east would make for some interesting football. If the Texas schools say no, I say expand south and lure Miami and South Florida. Those are two fairly big markets and the current crop of SEC coaches wouldn't mind visiting those talent-rich recruiting areas on an annual basis.

    We hope you enjoyed our inaugural SEC Roundtable Discussion of the summer. Please email any of us or all of us with your comments. Also, if there are any questions you want us to answer go ahead and send them our way.

    Billy Gomila


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    Default Re: SEC Roundtable

    SEC Roundtable Discussion Part II


    What do the guys expect from Petrino's Hawgs?

    By Staff
    Collegefootballnews.com
    Posted Jun 21, 2010



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    Back by popular demand... Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach, Russ Mitchell and Barrett Sallee are back to discuss all things SEC on Collegefootballnews.com.

    Collegefootballnews.com’s dedicated SEC Columnists (Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach, Russ Mitchell and Barrett Sallee) are back to help you through the dry months of summer. We’ll dive into a handful of juicy conference topics with each roundtable, providing you fodder for your off-season water cooler warfare. Continuing with the 2010 Roundtable, we’re tackling some timely subjects, including (i) who do the 2010 Razorbacks remind us of, (ii) the unknown SEC player(s) who will soon be a household name, and (iii) the Gator offense, post-Tim Terrific. As usual, we welcome your feedback.


    Arkansas is getting a ton of preseason hype. Which past SEC team do they remind you of?

    Billy Gomila: People are comparing them to last year’s Ole Miss team because of the whole “returning NFL prospect quarterback/conference title contender” thing. And while I definitely think people are overlooking the black hole that was the Razorback defense last season, as individual teams, the comparison doesn’t quite hold up. Ole Miss could at least field one of the league’s best defensive lines. Arkansas is replacing two starters there, including the team leaders in sacks and tackles for loss.

    Even if Ryan Mallett avoids Jevan Snead’s regression, 30 touchdowns and a mere seven picks was only enough to get the Hogs to 8-5. This Arkansas team has to show it can find offensive balance on a consistent basis, and slow down opposing offenses. Something else to remember – last year’s plus-15 turnover margin is almost definitely going to regress to the mean. And we all know how important turnovers are in close games.

    Brian Harbach: This is a fun question because depending on what you expect Arkansas to do this year, there are so many options for comparison. I expect Arkansas’ 2010 season to be very much like Georgia’s 2008 season. Not in terms of the UGA preseason ranking that was out of control high that year, but because I think the Razorbacks are a good team that is going to win a lot of games with offense but have one or two blow ups on defense.

    Taking a little trip down memory lane, think back to UGA in 2008… Ranked number one in both preseason polls, only to finish with a 10-3 record. It was a good season, but not an amazing one. I expect Arkansas to have a similar record and the losses could mirror UGA in 2010 as well - in the three UGA losses they gave up 135 points (45 pts/game). (RM Note: Not to pile on, but in that ballyhooed season, UGA only played three teams ranked in the season-end Top 25; See sentence above.) Can the Razorback defense hold up when the offense isn’t putting up major yards and points? That will be the difference between a truly special year and one that looks like the Dawgs from 2008.

    Russ Mitchell: We could go back to LSU’s 2006 season, with the big-armed JaMarcus Russell coming off his first year as the #1 signal caller. ‘cept the Tigers had far more talent that year in the trenches and at RB. We could go back to the much overhyped UGA 2008 campaign. ‘cept, again, Matthew Stafford had more talent behind him (in Knowshon Moreno). But you only have to go back one year t answer this question – Ole Miss.

    The Rebs ended the 2008 season on a run, with great excitement for 2009. A Top 10 darling pick for many of the pollsters, some even went so far as to pick Mississippi to win it all. But (i) without the benefit of a modern track record of success to deal with the hype, (ii) without a proven tailback to take pressure off an immature QB (until Nutt finally woke to smell the coffee that was Dexter McCluster, at which point it was too late), (iii) inconsistent play from the O-line, and (iv) a D-line that was excellent at pressure but struggled to control the run/clock, Ole Miss limped to finish well below expectations. So, how far to bet the Hogs? It’s good to be the belle of the ball, but all of the above hurdles exist for Arkansas – PLUS the Rebs had an exponentially better Secondary last season than the Razorbacks will likely field in 2010 (104th in the nation, dead last in the conference). Arkansas reminds us of Ole Miss, circa 2009.

    Barrett Sallee: If you think that the Razorbacks will fall flat on their face in 2010, the natural comparison would be to Ole Miss circa 2009. I don't think that's an appropriate comparison. A) Ole Miss entered 2009 with legitimate SEC West championship hype. No reasonable person is predicting Arkansas to win the SEC West in 2010. B) Ole Miss still won nine games in 2009, which is still a pretty solid number even though they didn't look too pretty in the process.

    I think a more appropriate comparison for the 2010 edition of the Razorbacks would be the 2003 Ole Miss Rebels. Both teams have a Heisman-trophy caliber quarterback and a moderate amount of preseason hype, but don't necessarily have the name cachet that the SEC super-powers carry. The 2003 Rebels stayed in the division title hunt mid-way through November, before falling to LSU and finishing the regular season 9-3. I see Arkansas having a very similar season. They will have flashes of brilliance and maybe post an upset or two, but with a defense that gives up more than 400 yards per game, they are going to drop enough games to keep them out of Atlanta.


    Which under-the-radar SEC player(s) do you expect to be a household name by November?

    Russ: Arkansas had the best Passing Attack in the conference last season (tenth best in the nation), and they’re quite likely to exceed that performance this year. Quick – name the Hogs best Wide Receiver? We forgive you for not knowing, but go ahead now and commit this name to memory: Greg Childs. Forget Alabama’s Julio “Mr. Consistency” Jones, LSU’s Terrance “One Hand Jack” Toliver, or even UGA’s A.J. Green (ok, not Green; kid’s amazing - going to be the next Jerry Rice on Sundays). Regardless, no one is going to put up the numbers Childs will next year. And it won’t just be the numbers; he’ll do it with style. The 6’3”, 225 junior out of Warren, Arkansas will emerge from beneath the shadows of Ryan Mallet, D.J. Williams and Mike Smith to shine above and beyond the SEC norm. He’s physical. He’s laser fast. And he had almost 1,000 yards and seven TDs on less than 50 receptions last year. Compare that to Jones’ ~600 yards on 43/rec and 4 TDs. Did we mention he was fast? With another year under their collective passing belts, and Joe Adams, Jarius Wright, and the talented freshman Cobi Hamilton drawing attention on the wings, not to mention Williams returning for his senior campaign, Childs is bound to find a LOT of space. Space he doesn’t need.

    Barrett: Georgia linebacker Justin Houston is going to be a stud in new defensive coordinator Todd Grantham's 3-4 defense. It's very difficulty to find the personnel to make the 3-4 work at the college level, but Houston definitely fits the bill at outside linebacker. The 6'3”, 259-pound junior is making the switch to outside linebacker from defensive end, where he tallied 7.5 sacks last season in former defensive coordinator Willie Martinez's 4-3 scheme. Houston has already built a pretty good reputation for himself in the SEC, but the switch to linebacker will send his stock soaring this fall. Is it going to be enough to turn that Bulldog D around immediately? Probably not. But he will put up video game numbers in 2010.

    Billy: Georgia linebacker Justin Houston. He was suspended for the first couple of games last season and still finished with 7.5 sacks (third in the league and first among returning defenders) plus another 7.5 tackles-for-loss as a defensive end. At 6-3 and 259 pounds he’s the classic example of the athletic edge pass-rusher who will excel as a 3-4 outside linebacker. Expect Houston to be one of the league’s most disruptive front-seven players and lead the league in sacks.

    Brian: It is never smart to rely on true freshmen to contribute much of anything until they get into the August practices but if there is one that will make an instant impact it will be South Carolina’s Marcus Lattimore. Similar to the NFL, the easiest position to play and impact a team immediately is at running back and the Gamecocks have had a need at running back since…well, it has been a while. The offensive line has a lot to say about the stats Lattimore will put up but he will get enough carries and enough scores to have everyone in the league know him this year and worry about him in the future.


    Will the Florida offense be more or less successful this year minus Tim Tebow?

    Billy: If you’re a pure X-&-O’s nut, this will be one of the season’s more interesting subplots. For the last four seasons, the Gators’ rushing attack was almost completely centered on Tim Tebow. If he wasn’t carrying the ball, he was supposed to make defenders thing that he was. The read, veer and option plays are all dependent on defenders honoring the quarterback as a ball carrier. Given that John Brantley’s skill set is more of the classic drop-back passer, this almost certainly has to change. Does that mean no more option? Of course not. But I do expect less of it. As I said in last week’s roundtable, Florida would be in dire straits if Brantley were to get hurt.
    What I expect to see is an offense that looks much more like the conventional spread, with some under-center and possibly pistol formations also worked in. It’s not like the Gators are without talented running backs. Jeff Demps is the conference’s fastest player, and at 200 pounds it’s not like he’s that small.

    Now, will this be more or less successful? I think that depends on just how much of a change Urban Meyer is prepared to make. If he’s willing to commit to a style that fits Brantley’s strengths, it could be very affective. Again, it’s not like his team is lacking in playmakers. But there’s also been a lot of talk of returning to the run-pass two-QB style Florida employed when Tebow was a freshman. People are quick to point out that the Gators won a national title that season, but they should remember that was largely due to a dominant defense. The offense was herky-jerky and extremely inconsistent – which can happen when you try to blend two styles of play.

    Brian: With all the talk about John Brantley being a better quarterback than Tim Tebow it brings up this very question. If Brantley is a better passer, will the offense be better? I don’t think it will, actually I expect the Florida offense to struggle to continue drives all season long. Tebow was exactly what the Gators needed on third and short, a battering ram that could get that one or two yards to convert the first down. Without a player with that mindset the Gators will lose an important dimension to their offense. The offense will still be very dangerous because of their speed at the skill positions and they will be able to score from any spot on the field but the offensive numbers will be more average than in past seasons. I expect a lower third down conversion, fewer yards per game, less points per game and more turnovers. Having said that, they are still the overwhelming favorites to win the East and offense will not be the reason they don’t make it to Atlanta.

    Barrett: I don't want to dodge the question, but the offense is going to be a different kind of successful. John Brantley can't do the things that Tim Tebow did, and Tim Tebow didn't do the things that John Brantley will be able to do. Will the Gators get the same kind of pure production out of the quarterback position that they enjoyed when Superman was taking snaps? Of course not. But the offense will be just as successful as it was with Tebow thanks to the presence of two studs at the “Percy Position.” Chris Rainey and Andre Debose are both likely to take snaps at the WR/RB spot that former Gator Percy Harvin made famous in Gainesville. It's the one spot on the field that makes that offense click, and with two capable players able to step in, that offense will be as successful as it has been in the past – it just might look a little different.

    Russ: Who’s picking these questions? The Gators had the #1 offense in the SEC last year – twelfth best in the nation. You think they’re going to surpass that with a rookie QB, a rebuilt line, and a head coach just one latte away from a holiday? No, there’s no GOTCHA in that; it’s a rhetorical question. Forget different or revamped – to be more successful, Florida has to basically rank in the top ten nationally in total offense (unless we’re going all Bill Clinton on the word “successful”). Given the headwind above, and without their offensive shepherd of the past three (maybe four) seasons, that’s unlikely.


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    Default Re: SEC Roundtable

    SEC Roundtable Discussion Part II


    What do the guys expect from Petrino's Hawgs?

    By Staff
    Collegefootballnews.com
    Posted Jun 21, 2010



    | More

    Back by popular demand... Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach, Russ Mitchell and Barrett Sallee are back to discuss all things SEC on Collegefootballnews.com.

    Collegefootballnews.com’s dedicated SEC Columnists (Billy Gomila, Brian Harbach, Russ Mitchell and Barrett Sallee) are back to help you through the dry months of summer. We’ll dive into a handful of juicy conference topics with each roundtable, providing you fodder for your off-season water cooler warfare. Continuing with the 2010 Roundtable, we’re tackling some timely subjects, including (i) who do the 2010 Razorbacks remind us of, (ii) the unknown SEC player(s) who will soon be a household name, and (iii) the Gator offense, post-Tim Terrific. As usual, we welcome your feedback.


    Arkansas is getting a ton of preseason hype. Which past SEC team do they remind you of?

    Billy Gomila: People are comparing them to last year’s Ole Miss team because of the whole “returning NFL prospect quarterback/conference title contender” thing. And while I definitely think people are overlooking the black hole that was the Razorback defense last season, as individual teams, the comparison doesn’t quite hold up. Ole Miss could at least field one of the league’s best defensive lines. Arkansas is replacing two starters there, including the team leaders in sacks and tackles for loss.

    Even if Ryan Mallett avoids Jevan Snead’s regression, 30 touchdowns and a mere seven picks was only enough to get the Hogs to 8-5. This Arkansas team has to show it can find offensive balance on a consistent basis, and slow down opposing offenses. Something else to remember – last year’s plus-15 turnover margin is almost definitely going to regress to the mean. And we all know how important turnovers are in close games.

    Brian Harbach: This is a fun question because depending on what you expect Arkansas to do this year, there are so many options for comparison. I expect Arkansas’ 2010 season to be very much like Georgia’s 2008 season. Not in terms of the UGA preseason ranking that was out of control high that year, but because I think the Razorbacks are a good team that is going to win a lot of games with offense but have one or two blow ups on defense.

    Taking a little trip down memory lane, think back to UGA in 2008… Ranked number one in both preseason polls, only to finish with a 10-3 record. It was a good season, but not an amazing one. I expect Arkansas to have a similar record and the losses could mirror UGA in 2010 as well - in the three UGA losses they gave up 135 points (45 pts/game). (RM Note: Not to pile on, but in that ballyhooed season, UGA only played three teams ranked in the season-end Top 25; See sentence above.) Can the Razorback defense hold up when the offense isn’t putting up major yards and points? That will be the difference between a truly special year and one that looks like the Dawgs from 2008.

    Russ Mitchell: We could go back to LSU’s 2006 season, with the big-armed JaMarcus Russell coming off his first year as the #1 signal caller. ‘cept the Tigers had far more talent that year in the trenches and at RB. We could go back to the much overhyped UGA 2008 campaign. ‘cept, again, Matthew Stafford had more talent behind him (in Knowshon Moreno). But you only have to go back one year t answer this question – Ole Miss.

    The Rebs ended the 2008 season on a run, with great excitement for 2009. A Top 10 darling pick for many of the pollsters, some even went so far as to pick Mississippi to win it all. But (i) without the benefit of a modern track record of success to deal with the hype, (ii) without a proven tailback to take pressure off an immature QB (until Nutt finally woke to smell the coffee that was Dexter McCluster, at which point it was too late), (iii) inconsistent play from the O-line, and (iv) a D-line that was excellent at pressure but struggled to control the run/clock, Ole Miss limped to finish well below expectations. So, how far to bet the Hogs? It’s good to be the belle of the ball, but all of the above hurdles exist for Arkansas – PLUS the Rebs had an exponentially better Secondary last season than the Razorbacks will likely field in 2010 (104th in the nation, dead last in the conference). Arkansas reminds us of Ole Miss, circa 2009.

    Barrett Sallee: If you think that the Razorbacks will fall flat on their face in 2010, the natural comparison would be to Ole Miss circa 2009. I don't think that's an appropriate comparison. A) Ole Miss entered 2009 with legitimate SEC West championship hype. No reasonable person is predicting Arkansas to win the SEC West in 2010. B) Ole Miss still won nine games in 2009, which is still a pretty solid number even though they didn't look too pretty in the process.

    I think a more appropriate comparison for the 2010 edition of the Razorbacks would be the 2003 Ole Miss Rebels. Both teams have a Heisman-trophy caliber quarterback and a moderate amount of preseason hype, but don't necessarily have the name cachet that the SEC super-powers carry. The 2003 Rebels stayed in the division title hunt mid-way through November, before falling to LSU and finishing the regular season 9-3. I see Arkansas having a very similar season. They will have flashes of brilliance and maybe post an upset or two, but with a defense that gives up more than 400 yards per game, they are going to drop enough games to keep them out of Atlanta.


    Which under-the-radar SEC player(s) do you expect to be a household name by November?

    Russ: Arkansas had the best Passing Attack in the conference last season (tenth best in the nation), and they’re quite likely to exceed that performance this year. Quick – name the Hogs best Wide Receiver? We forgive you for not knowing, but go ahead now and commit this name to memory: Greg Childs. Forget Alabama’s Julio “Mr. Consistency” Jones, LSU’s Terrance “One Hand Jack” Toliver, or even UGA’s A.J. Green (ok, not Green; kid’s amazing - going to be the next Jerry Rice on Sundays). Regardless, no one is going to put up the numbers Childs will next year. And it won’t just be the numbers; he’ll do it with style. The 6’3”, 225 junior out of Warren, Arkansas will emerge from beneath the shadows of Ryan Mallet, D.J. Williams and Mike Smith to shine above and beyond the SEC norm. He’s physical. He’s laser fast. And he had almost 1,000 yards and seven TDs on less than 50 receptions last year. Compare that to Jones’ ~600 yards on 43/rec and 4 TDs. Did we mention he was fast? With another year under their collective passing belts, and Joe Adams, Jarius Wright, and the talented freshman Cobi Hamilton drawing attention on the wings, not to mention Williams returning for his senior campaign, Childs is bound to find a LOT of space. Space he doesn’t need.

    Barrett: Georgia linebacker Justin Houston is going to be a stud in new defensive coordinator Todd Grantham's 3-4 defense. It's very difficulty to find the personnel to make the 3-4 work at the college level, but Houston definitely fits the bill at outside linebacker. The 6'3”, 259-pound junior is making the switch to outside linebacker from defensive end, where he tallied 7.5 sacks last season in former defensive coordinator Willie Martinez's 4-3 scheme. Houston has already built a pretty good reputation for himself in the SEC, but the switch to linebacker will send his stock soaring this fall. Is it going to be enough to turn that Bulldog D around immediately? Probably not. But he will put up video game numbers in 2010.

    Billy: Georgia linebacker Justin Houston. He was suspended for the first couple of games last season and still finished with 7.5 sacks (third in the league and first among returning defenders) plus another 7.5 tackles-for-loss as a defensive end. At 6-3 and 259 pounds he’s the classic example of the athletic edge pass-rusher who will excel as a 3-4 outside linebacker. Expect Houston to be one of the league’s most disruptive front-seven players and lead the league in sacks.

    Brian: It is never smart to rely on true freshmen to contribute much of anything until they get into the August practices but if there is one that will make an instant impact it will be South Carolina’s Marcus Lattimore. Similar to the NFL, the easiest position to play and impact a team immediately is at running back and the Gamecocks have had a need at running back since…well, it has been a while. The offensive line has a lot to say about the stats Lattimore will put up but he will get enough carries and enough scores to have everyone in the league know him this year and worry about him in the future.


    Will the Florida offense be more or less successful this year minus Tim Tebow?

    Billy: If you’re a pure X-&-O’s nut, this will be one of the season’s more interesting subplots. For the last four seasons, the Gators’ rushing attack was almost completely centered on Tim Tebow. If he wasn’t carrying the ball, he was supposed to make defenders thing that he was. The read, veer and option plays are all dependent on defenders honoring the quarterback as a ball carrier. Given that John Brantley’s skill set is more of the classic drop-back passer, this almost certainly has to change. Does that mean no more option? Of course not. But I do expect less of it. As I said in last week’s roundtable, Florida would be in dire straits if Brantley were to get hurt.
    What I expect to see is an offense that looks much more like the conventional spread, with some under-center and possibly pistol formations also worked in. It’s not like the Gators are without talented running backs. Jeff Demps is the conference’s fastest player, and at 200 pounds it’s not like he’s that small.

    Now, will this be more or less successful? I think that depends on just how much of a change Urban Meyer is prepared to make. If he’s willing to commit to a style that fits Brantley’s strengths, it could be very affective. Again, it’s not like his team is lacking in playmakers. But there’s also been a lot of talk of returning to the run-pass two-QB style Florida employed when Tebow was a freshman. People are quick to point out that the Gators won a national title that season, but they should remember that was largely due to a dominant defense. The offense was herky-jerky and extremely inconsistent – which can happen when you try to blend two styles of play.

    Brian: With all the talk about John Brantley being a better quarterback than Tim Tebow it brings up this very question. If Brantley is a better passer, will the offense be better? I don’t think it will, actually I expect the Florida offense to struggle to continue drives all season long. Tebow was exactly what the Gators needed on third and short, a battering ram that could get that one or two yards to convert the first down. Without a player with that mindset the Gators will lose an important dimension to their offense. The offense will still be very dangerous because of their speed at the skill positions and they will be able to score from any spot on the field but the offensive numbers will be more average than in past seasons. I expect a lower third down conversion, fewer yards per game, less points per game and more turnovers. Having said that, they are still the overwhelming favorites to win the East and offense will not be the reason they don’t make it to Atlanta.

    Barrett: I don't want to dodge the question, but the offense is going to be a different kind of successful. John Brantley can't do the things that Tim Tebow did, and Tim Tebow didn't do the things that John Brantley will be able to do. Will the Gators get the same kind of pure production out of the quarterback position that they enjoyed when Superman was taking snaps? Of course not. But the offense will be just as successful as it was with Tebow thanks to the presence of two studs at the “Percy Position.” Chris Rainey and Andre Debose are both likely to take snaps at the WR/RB spot that former Gator Percy Harvin made famous in Gainesville. It's the one spot on the field that makes that offense click, and with two capable players able to step in, that offense will be as successful as it has been in the past – it just might look a little different.

    Russ: Who’s picking these questions? The Gators had the #1 offense in the SEC last year – twelfth best in the nation. You think they’re going to surpass that with a rookie QB, a rebuilt line, and a head coach just one latte away from a holiday? No, there’s no GOTCHA in that; it’s a rhetorical question. Forget different or revamped – to be more successful, Florida has to basically rank in the top ten nationally in total offense (unless we’re going all Bill Clinton on the word “successful”). Given the headwind above, and without their offensive shepherd of the past three (maybe four) seasons, that’s unlikely.


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