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  1. #1
    Senior Member Beechernic's Avatar

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    Lightbulb Week 11 Early Leans

    YTD: 29-25-2

    Start it up all over again!!! AND Ahhhhhhh I have all away teams except for the Sunday night game. Kill me now!!!

    145 Tennessee +3.5 @ Mississippi - TN is playing great football right now. I think they are one of the better teams out there. Losses to AL and FL - those dont count. And for as well as they hung with AL recently in Tusc..., but then again I cant stand Ole Miss. Its a great example of why the Pre-Season Rankings skew the standings towards the SE....I'm starting to rant again. Miss wont be able to find the endzone like they did against AlabamBirhimgham, Arkansas, and D2 Northern Arizona? How did that game get scheduled? I've been to Flagstaff, not exaclty a sports school.... Go Vols. Go Vols on the ML as well!!!!

    127 Indiana +27 @ PennSt - The Lions have given more than 25 pts 3 times this year, and havent been able to get it done. Will they be mad about the OhSt game - yes, but I'm going to be real with myself and admit the Big10 doesnt score like that. I think this line is a reflection of a number set for the public and anger. I think the 27 points is enough to protect Campbell when State's rushing attack gets him flustered. And lets be honest. This 12:00 game wont exactly be rockin.

    197 Houston -5 @ UCF - I was all over this game last night...why not? The redonkulous upset to Tulsa could very well be the only ATS loss. Last week's Tulsa game was a winner if you got the line before Sat morning. The Knights Pass D is well past the 100 ranking mark on the depth chart. I think this line will fly up towards a TD before Grey's Anatomy starts this week. To me... : Choo Choo!!!!

    163 Stanford +11 @ USC - IMHO, USC's QB position has been the weak spot all year. And if you think Barkley is decent, then that says something for thier squad. The last 3 games Stan/USC have both played ORE & ASU. I think the stats and results of those games is enough for me. I will forever believe there are a handful of schools each year that give an extra 3-5 pts because of the public perception alone. USC remains on that gay-dar.

    171 Texas A&M +20 @ Oklahoma - I've bitched and moaned all year about how over-rated Okla is with out Bradford. I guess its time to start supporting my mouth with greenbacks. The Aggies sure as shit can score, so I dont see them being in a position that cant cover. Seems to me they're always 2 possesions away from 10 pts.

    191 Texas Tech +4.5 @ OKSt - This is better than TxTk/Hou!!!! This is my new favorite day EVER!!! It didnt take me long to notice the home team (in this match up) comes out victorious OFTEN, but trends are meant to be broken, and you just hope you're there with your pockets out when they do. Props to the Cowboys for have a sick run D, but guess what? The RRs dont even have a Lead Play in their book. Another ML play for this guy.

    242 Tulsa -5 vs ECU - Apparently I was out of games and needed a home team. Hey-Zeus!!!!

    These are obviously blind, but this is the lean I have until the number makes me double down on it!!! Winner Winner Chicken Din...wait...where am I?

    167 ASU/ORE - [50] Under - Blount seeing time could work out hitch free or could mean a stagnant offense. I know he's been practising full out, but not with Mister T and the A Team. And he may try to press too much. A RB (especially an unhinged, uncoachable, undisciplined, loose cannon) forcing the issue is a TO waiting to happen. I promise I'm not opinionated of him. Keep in mind this is a kid that was continuously suspended in HS and in college for violating team rules, and fighting. If this was Bull Duram, He'd be Nuke, million dollar legs with a ten cent head.

    123 IA/OhSt - [40] Under - I see no contribution from the Hawks in this game. And Iowa's D has enough talent and pride to hold it down at the Shoe. This is not USC, this is not their first Rodeo. <-- (I dont even know if that comment's applicable here)

    194 TCU/UTAH - [52] Over - A TD a quarter, outta both of 'em, is all I ask. You wanna be on the inside looking out of the BCS... Then score on each other, and score often. Defense may win ball games, but Cheerleaders doing PushUps gets you in a spot lighted game.

    203 NMSt/HAW - [40] Under - I mean wow...can either of these two find the endzone??? I might even take this game down lower than the Iowa game.


    As standard... Good Luck this weekend to all. I keep the ball rolling.
    Last edited by Beechernic; 11-10-2009 at 05:08 PM.

  2. #2
    Moderator Dirty's Avatar

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    Good Stuff....
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  3. #3
    Senior Member Beechernic's Avatar

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    Totals joined the party... I am either clueless, or super confident about these.

    ASU/ORE - 48.5 under..... no play
    IA/OHSt - 37.5 under..... possibly still a play
    TCU/UTA - 45 over ..... wowzers, I was a TD short... Guess this is a double play *wink*
    NMSt/HAW - 53.5 under ..... 2 TDs !?!?!?! I am starting to see a flaw in my assumptions... Ill play this under with pride!

  4. #4
    Senior Member cassiusclay's Avatar

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    nice write ups beech, keep up the good work

  5. #5
    Senior Member Beechernic's Avatar

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    4-5 this week.... brings my grand total to 33-30-2
    YIKES!!! why do I even post?

  6. #6
    Moderator Dirty's Avatar

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    Posting is more about learning and getting feedback than records... the only way you get better as a handicapper is to read, interact and talk things thru and find out what others are doing and thinking...
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