Week 10 NCAAB

[NattyBumpo]

Monday action:

725 - La Tech -3 (-120) @ Boise St.

Positive momentum vs negative momentum. Good defense and fundamentally sound vs ....clueless . A road warrior vs a team that just lost to a terrible road team in New Mexico St. OK, the Aggies might be better than thier non conference record indicates but still nowhere near La Tech.....the much better team can win on the road, and likely to cover comfortably doing so.

720 - Louisville -3 vs Villanova

This one seems too hard to try and explain. So I wont. But for reasons I would sound silly trying to articulate, I simply feel confident enough to bet this.

728 - San Jose St./Fresno St. over 140

Both teams taking hi 50s shots attempted per game in WAC gms so far. Horrible defensive percentage numbers make this matchup look like an offensively pulsating pimple about ready to explode. Simply disgusting.

[Dirty]

Love the Lville Pick

[Old-Timer]

Good Luck Guys..

[NattyBumpo]

2-1 Monday

Tuesday action:

511 - Texas A&M +9 @ Kansas St.

525 - Maryland +6 (-120) @ Wake Forest

533 - Kentucky -2 (-120) @ Florida


Not in love with being on all road teams here. These things happen.

Good luck and Peace.

[NattyBumpo]

Adding:

516 - Kent/Miami Ohio under 130 (-120)

Dont usually buy hooks on totals but I believe I was lucky to get 129.5 so I bought up to the original 130. Most shops show 128.5 at this time.

[Micelli]

nice under bro, OT and u didnt even have to sweat it

[NattyBumpo]

Thanks Micelli. Things are lookin up.

I had respect for Florida before this game. I have maybe a little more for them now even if I cashed with Kentucky. They fought back and could have easily rolled each time KU made a run. If the game was to continue Im sure they would have cut into the lead again. Ill be looking for a spot to play the Gators in the near future. I can see how some might look at KU as the square play in this game but I dont really think there was a wrong side. The arguments for KU bore themselves out as truth while the Gators showd the assets that were argued for by thier backers. Its my feeling Kentucky loses when they least expect to. They brought thier A game lookin for an ambush today.

3-1 for Tuesday

Wednesday action:

738 - St Johns -1 vs Cincinnati

742 - UNC Wilmington +7 (-120) vs Old Dominion

758 - La Salle -3 (-120) vs George Washington

760 - UMass/Richmond Under 138

762 - St Joes/Rhode Island over 154

Good luck and Peace

[Dirty]

Good job yesterday and good luck today

[Micelli]

Good Luck Tonght, i like ur card (xcept lasalle)

[NattyBumpo]

Thanks guys. Never a fun thing to go against ya Micelli. Got me on that one. Good call man.

3-2 for Wednesday.

Thursday action:

509 - Buffalo -1.5 @ Bowling Green

558 - San Jose St. -3 (-120) vs Boise St.

561 - Portland +1 @ San Diego


Good luck and Peace.

[Old-Timer]

Good Job and thanks for posting...

[NattyBumpo]

No prob OT. Thanks for your encouragement and interaction as well.

2-1 Thursday

I took it on the chin with San Jose St goin to -1 and the number landing 2 with me holding a -3(-120) in one hand and my thingy in the other. Egg in the face and embarrassing to say the least. Not always able to monitor and get down on lines like a real sharp better would but I try. Usually take what I consider a fair number the night before if its available. I sort of thought money would come in on SJSt and was sick to see it down to -1 before the tip. Shit happens I guess.

Not in love with todays version of "Gay Friday". Just a little action with a parlay that has little margin for error but a fair chance to cash in my opinion. For what its worth...

830 - Ill Chi -1.5 vs Loy Chi w/under 125 (0.4 units to win 1.04)

Flames playing tough defense and improved enough in time to be competitive for conference play. Should be a tightly played defensively dominated game. Both teams struggle to score. Giving the home court the edge with confidence building and steady team improvement while Loy Chi has come down a little since conference play to what they were predicted to be against competition that is familiar with them. I made this line a -3ish and cut off the under at 125 so as you can see Im sort of pressing this play.

Good luck and Peace.

[jimbojpc]

BOL Natty

[NattyBumpo]

0-1 for Friday

Didnt get enough time to look at the whole card the way Id like to, but grabbed a couple handfuls of games in which I thought I had some sort of feel for and capped from there.

I dont have the time or energy to give a credible analysis of all these games but Ill try and throw a line or two of the main reason the game appeals to me. Might not seem adequate but Ill try....Heres the sides that made the cut.

Saturday action:

522 - W.Virginia -4 (-120) vs Syracuse

Underachieving final four caliber team getting a short number at home vs an overachieving (albiet, they might be final four caliber as well) team that may be due for a small letdown. The time for WVA to make a splash in the deep end is just about overdue. I feel they cover or lose outright.

535 - Ole Miss +7 @ Tennessee

The time to fade Tennessee is ripe. Ole Miss is hungry, capable and willing to do the pickin.

548 - James Madison -1 vs G.Mason

Masons' home/road splits, inexperience, and scoring woes make them an attractive road fade. James Madison is looking like a dangerous team to tangle with as evidenced by the scares they gave ODU and William and Mary on the road.

581 - Maryland +1.5 @ Boston College

Maryland coach has thrown kerosene on the glowing embers of a slow burning pre conference team and the fire is getting quite hot of late. Having the statistical and athletic advantages with an under the radar value (get em while ya can) makes taking the much better team as a dog a must in my opinion. Terrapins can do everything it takes to win on the road.

664 - St. Marys -8 vs Portland

Portland had to muster a big effort to to bounce back off the Gonzaga effort to stay afloat for an at large tournament hope at SD. With one day in between and travel to St Marys, this is the spot to fade Portland. Tank should be very low and the Gaels get to play a second consecutive game at home. Gaels need this win as well to keep an at large going and are in a much better position. Portland tires will deflate as the game gets away and this number is begging for Portland action. Now is the time to fade Portland.

698 - Wofford -5 (-120) vs Davidson

Experience at home vs inexperience on the road. Thought Id play this at -7 or less. Ode to joy at -5. Woo hoo.


Imagine I may have a play or two in the late games. Surely a total will get my attention after I have time to give the card another look tomorrow morning.

Good luck and Peace.

[Micelli]

good luck, thanks for the write-ups. we match on 1 and arent bangin heads on any, thats good news!

[Dirty]

Nice Card.. Good Luck

[NattyBumpo]

Thanks gentlemen.

Fuck it.... seems fishy but I dont care. Not gonna be a pussy about a side I like.

631 - UAB -4.5 @ SMU

[NattyBumpo]

3-4 for Saturday

Tough day at the office.... onward.

Sunday action:

814 - Akron/Buffalo under 134

Line seems kinda high to me. Feels like a low to mid 120s in my opinion.

821 - UConn -1 @ Michigan

As I waited for St Marys to blow the cover this line did a reversal before I got to the friggin window. For good reason in my opinion. Seems like a pain in the ass non conference road game for the Huskies but this is probably just what the doctor ordered to get a quality road win and rebound off some tough games with teams that would probably wipe thier asses with this Michigan team that hasnt beaten anybody decent in a less than Big Ten conference. They beat Ohio St. without thier main artery but weve seen the difference when hes in the lineup.

The number on the Villanova game seems tempting. Ill sleep on it but probably lay off. Smells like the books want Nova action and GTown seems to have thier number the past few games that theyve met, so laying anything seems a little perilous.

Good luck and Peace.

[Dirty]

ON UCONN as well... good luck today

[NattyBumpo]

Lets cash it Dirty.

Adding:

836 - Boston U/Vermont under 141.5

Short notice.... sorry.